The Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR): Reflections on Three Decades of Development
Miroslaw Romanowski Lecture, Royal Society of Canada
Keith W. Hipel
Officer of the Order of Canada
FRSC, NAE, PhD, DrHC, HDSc, PEng, Hon.D.WRE, FCAE, FEIC, FIEEE, FASCE, FAWRA, FINCOSE, FAAAS University Professor, Department of Systems Design EngineeringUniversity of Waterloo, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada N2L 3G1
Former President, Academy of Science, Royal Society of CanadaSenior Fellow, Centre for International Governance InnovationFellow, Balsillie School of International AffairsCoordinator, Conflict Analysis Group, University of Waterloo
時間地點:2019年01月08日,上午9:00-11:00,經管樓704室
Abstract
The fundamental design and inherent capabilities of the Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMCR) to address a rich range of complex real world conflict situations are put into perspective by tracing its historical development over a period spanning more than thirty years, and highlighting great opportunities for meaningful future expansions within an era of artificial intelligence (AI) and intensifying conflict in an over-crowded world. By constructing a sound theoretical foundation for GMCR based upon assumptions reflecting what actually occurs in reality, a fascinating story is narrated on how GMCR was able to expand in bold new directions as well as take advantages of many important legacy decision technologies built within the earlier Metagame Analysis and later Conflict Analysis paradigms. From its predecessors, for instance, GMCR could take advantage of option form put forward within Metagame Analysis for effectively recording a conflict as well as preference elicitation techniques and solution concepts for defining chess-like behavior when calculating stability of states from the realm of Conflict Analysis. Speaker Biography
Keith ·William ·Hipel (基思·威廉·海波爾),加拿大籍,滑鐵盧大學系統設計工程系大學首席講座教授,是系統工程、水資源管理、環境工程、管理科學等領域的國際知名專家。曾擔任加拿大皇家科學院院長,榮獲加拿大工程院院士、加拿大皇家學會院士、美國工程院外籍院士、美國土木工程學會會士、美國水資源學會會士、國際電氣和電子工程師協會會士、國際系統工程學會會士等60多個國際獎項和榮譽稱號。2017年,加拿大政府特授予他加拿大總督榮譽勛章“Officer of the Order of Canada (O.C.)”,以表彰他在系統工程、水資源管理等領域作出的杰出貢獻。Hipel教授因長期從事系統工程領域的跨學科研究而享譽全球,研究方向涉及沖突分析、多準則決策、統計時間序列分析、復雜系統等領域,相關研究成果在水資源管理、水文分析、環境工程、能源管理以及可持續發展等多方面得到了廣泛應用。
智能決策與風險分析研究所